14 September 2015, Rome – Prolonged
dry weather associated with the El Niño phenomenon has severely reduced
this year’s cereal outputs in El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras and
Nicaragua, putting a large numbers of farmers in need of agricultural
assistance as the subregion tries to recover amidst ongoing dryness,
FAO said today.
This is the second consecutive year that the region's
main season cereal harvest has been negatively affected by severe dry
weather related to El Niño.
The Central American Agricultural Council -- headed
by agriculture ministers of the subregion – has declared a state of
alert after hundreds of thousands of subsistence farmers have suffered
the partial or total loss of their crops planted for the main grain
season that runs from May to September.
Early estimates from Central America’s main
de prima
harvest suggest declines of as much as 60 percent of maize and 80
percent of beans due to dry weather caused by El Niño, a weather
phenomenon characterized by abnormal warming of surface waters in the
eastern Pacific ocean.
El Niño-related dry spells are known to delay planting, reduce planting areas and stifle crop development.
Recovering as dry weather continues
With hundreds of thousands of families affected by
severe food losses, the governments of El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras,
and Nicaragua have begun distributing agricultural aid packages,
including seeds, fertilizers and irrigation pumps, to help farmers
recover as much as possible in the second planting season, now under way.
Three out of the four countries have also begun distributing direct food aid to help families cope with severe food shortages.
“This year's El Niño's impacts are even more intense
than last's. After two years of intensifying dry weather, it’s critical
that we support farmers to recuperate some of their losses by helping
them achieve stronger yields in the second season,” says Felix
Baquedano, Economist in FAO’s Global Information and Early Warning
System (GIEWS) unit covering Latin America.
Those farmers now planting second season crops, meanwhile, are doing so under exceptionally dry conditions.
With near certainty that El Niño conditions will
continue into early 2016, second season output will likely also be
limited by severe dry weather.
Losses
At an estimated 3 million tonnes across the subregion,
this year’s maize harvest is expected to be far below average and some 8
percent below last year’s already compromised harvest.
Production declines are expected to be particularly sharp in
El Salvador and
Honduras,
which both saw 60 percent of their maize crops destroyed by the
irregular rainfall earlier this year. In El Salvador alone, losses are
estimated at $28 million in seeds, fertilizers, pesticides and land
preparation. Honduras additionally saw 80 percent of its beans perish.
In
Guatemala’s most affected areas,
some 80 percent of crops are estimated to have been lost, including
55,000 tonnes of maize and 11,500 tonnes of beans, affecting over
150,000 families. While there is still a chance for farmers in the dry
corridor to make up for some of those losses of beans in the second
season, insufficient rain is likely to prohibit maize from maturing and
prevent farmers from recovering those losses.
In
Nicaragua, early estimates
suggest 50 percent of the total planted area has been damaged, with
total crop losses in the country’s most severely affected regions.
Effects on prices
Countries across the subregion have increased imports
of staple foods from other parts of Latin America to increase
availability of food and keep prices stable.
In El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua, maize prices
have remained significantly above last year’s level – with increases of
as much as 20 percent in Honduras. Guatemala is the only country in the
dry corridor that has managed to bring prices down from August last year
thanks to imports from Mexico and improved supplies from the ongoing
2015 main harvest.
FAO response
In Guatemala, where crop losses have triggered food
distributions to some 110,000 families, FAO is supporting the government
in building early warning systems and developing management plans, as
well as in making seeds and training available to farmers to increase
the country’s resilience against the effects of El Niño.
FAO is further mobilizing resources to provide direct
assistance to production and to support food and nutrition monitoring
systems in Honduras, while continuing to support the government of El
Salvador in its long-term strategy to adapt local agriculture to the
effects of climate change.
Central America’s “Dry Corridor” is a semi-arid
region stretching from the low areas of the Pacific watershed through
the foothills of Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua and parts
of Costa Rica. It covers nearly one-third of the Central American
territory and is characterized by recurrent droughts.