famine |
The widespread
drought that Uganda experienced in 2016 will likely lead to widespread
famine in 2017. The drought brought many farmers on the brink of
financial ruin as illustrated by the experience of a friend who got all
his meagre savings and headed to the highlands of Sebei to grow maize.
In Sebei, maize
takes seven months to mature but in 2016 the rains started falling
intermittently around the fourth month. Even so my friend patiently
tended his nine-acre garden for six and a half months until curiosity
got the better of him and he opened one maize cob to check how full it
was. The cob was very big but only had a few seeds dotted on it.
He checked more
cobs and got the same result; huge cobs with few seeds. Other farmers
who planted their maize at the same time as my friend reported the same
finding, which led to the conclusion that the 2016 crop had failed
massively.
Warning of looming famine
On November 3,
2016, Operation Wealth Creation (OWC) - an outfit led by army veterans
and in charge of agricultural extension, tweeted the picture of
President Museveni carrying a 20 litre water container on a bicycle to
demonstrate drip irrigation. I suspect that by the time the President
opted for this action, he had been warned about the looming famine in
Uganda just like Pharaoh was warned about seven years of famine that
were coming upon ancient Egypt.
But there are three
important differences between the Ugandan and Egyptian situation. While
the king of Egypt had seven years to prepare against the famine, the
President of Uganda has less than seven months to respond to the biting
hunger that might erupt in March 2017.
The king of Egypt
had the wisdom and good character of Joseph to rely on but in Uganda
both agricultural extension and disaster preparedness is in shambles.
Joseph had a plan
which he implemented systematically and saved Egypt from ruin while
Uganda is doing trial and error; we have already ditched drip irrigation
and are now proposing to stop funding public works in order to make
money available for buying food.
Required response
Two main responses are required from the government as we enter into 2017.
The government
should outsource the provision of relief food to credible emergency
response organisations such as the World Food Programme or World Vision
Uganda. This will ensure that whatever little money there is goes into
acquisition of food instead of diverting some of it to scale up the
emergency response capacity by acquiring storage facilities, renting
trucks and hiring staff.
Uganda must get
agricultural extension service back on track. When the planting season
starts in 2017, farmers will need quick maturing and drought resistant
planting materials.
Many farmers will
also need affordable financing to enable them prepare their gardens and
acquire planting materials. I doubt that Operation Wealth Creation has
the imagination and skillset needed to facilitate this important and now
urgent role.
The plan
Create food
reserves. According to Food and Agriculture Organisation, Uganda needs a
food reserve agency that will backstop food security and protect
farmers and consumers from the extremes of food price volatility.
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