Mega-farms could hit grain supplies in the region, resulting in an increase in imports to feed pigs

Balinese farmers work on the land surrounding the volcano Reuters

Volcanic ash can cause a nuisance to farmers, burying agricultural lands and damaging crops. But this ash does have long-term benefits.

Mount Agung in Bali is currently on the verge of eruption, and more than 100,000 people have been evacuated. However, one of us (Dian Fiantis) will go into the area when it erupts, to collect the ash.

This eruption is likely to be catastrophic, spewing lava and ashes at temperatures up to 1,250C, posing serious risk to humans and their livelihoods.

Ash ejected from the volcano not only affects aviation and tourism, but can also affect life and cause much nuisance to farmers, burying agricultural land and damaging crops. However, in the long term, the ash will create the world’s most productive soils.

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While volcanic soils only cover 1 per cent of the world’s land surface, they can support 10 per cent of the world’s population, including some areas with the highest population densities.

The ring of fire

Indonesia is situated on the Pacific Ring of Fire, a chain of volcanoes that stretches from Sumatra through Java and Bali to Timor, and constitutes the most dangerous of the world’s tectonic interfaces.

Throughout history, Indonesia’s volcanic eruptions have affected the world’s climate, notably the volcano of Lake Toba with its super-eruption around 74,000 years ago, which caused a six-year volcanic winter. Mount Tambora is known for its violent eruption in 1815 causing a year without summer in Europe, and the Krakatau explosion in 1883 also cooled the world.

The eruption of Tambora, on the island of Sumbawa in 1815 ejected an estimated 160 cubic km of ash into the atmosphere. This catastrophic event affected the population in nearby islands, including Bali. Agriculture was destroyed by ash deposits and shortage of sunlight. It was estimated that the misery lasted 10-15 years before the ashes turned into fertile soils.

The 1963-64 eruption of Mount Agung released 0.95 cubic km of solid volcanic material and lava. Some 1,580 people were reportedly killed by the rapid lava flows and accompanying poisonous gases.

But if a comparable eruption occurred tomorrow, the death toll would be greatly lessened by the warning systems now in place.

Implications for neighbouring countries

Among the constant eruptions of Indonesia’s many volcanoes (66 currently being monitored, and among those 50-60 are considered “active”), huge ones will arrive.

They will be enormously destructive to Indonesia, will impact the world’s climate, and will challenge neighbouring countries.

Even the moderate ones that are likely to occur every decade need to be prepared for in a systematic way.

Volcanoes and population density

In the past decade, volcanoes in various parts of Indonesia have been quite active and erupted, notably Merapi (2010) in Central Java, Sinabung (2014) in North Sumatra, and Kelud (2014) in East Java.

Despite the danger posed by these volcanoes, areas with high volcanic activity also have some of the world’s most fertile farmlands due to release of plant nutrients such as potassium and phosphorus.

Dutch scientist ECJ Mohr observed in 1938 that the region near Mount Merapi has higher population densities in areas with soils derived from volcanic ash.

These soils are most probably the reason that Java can sustain high human population densities, estimated at more than 1,100 people per square km. Several years after Mount Galunggung in West Java erupted in April 1982, crop productivity in the local area of Tasikmalaya was boosted.

Volcanic ash, the fertiliser reserve

Dian Fiantis from the University of Andalas in Padang is a volcanic ash hunter. She sees volcanic eruptions as an opportunity to study the beginning of how soils formed, a process that could take thousands and even millions of years. She has collected and studied ashes immediately after volcanoes have erupted in Sumatra.

Tephra (the scientific name of volcanic ash) contains primary minerals which have an abundance of nutrients. Over time, chemical and biological weathering, the ashes will release the nutrients.

On 28 January, 2014, Mount Sinabung erupted with pyroclastic flow and “mud rain”. Ashes covered most of the Sigarang Garang village, which is located north-east of the foot of volcano. The ashes contain a high amount of nutrients, notably calcium, magnesium, potassium, and phosphate.

It was estimated that the region received 250 million tons of ash – the equivalent of up to 10 million tons of fertiliser.

When we visited the village in January this year, we saw some of the ashes were already colonised by lichens, and some even with grasses growing on them. These areas have already accumulated substantial organic matter, up to 4 per cent of organic carbon, meaning they can soak up a large amount of carbon from the atmosphere through plants.